Market Briefing - What happened this week | July 3, 2020

briefing Market Analysis

Here's the biggest headlines for this week:

Stimulus Package 2.0 in the Talks

Stimulus package 2.0 are in talks and have may be coming soon, but how fast will it take to go out? It will need to pass the house, senate and finally the President's approval before the IRS will take action.

The last stimulus which came with the CARES Act, the president signed the law on March 27 and it took less than 3 weeks before the cheques were sent out. There are two planned recesses for the Senate in the summer, will they be able to get it passed this summer? 

Will it be in time and will it be enough before the before the floodgates open? 

<<See Article>>

Five Companies Make up 45% of NASDAQ

You know the saying, "never put all your eggs in one basket"? NASDAQ 100 just did that... but instead it's putt almost HALF of its weight on five tech companies. Never before has the NASDAQ been that focused on just a few companies. While these companies had great growth, we know that theis growth can't last forever. It does expose the NASDAQ to major volatility if 2 or more of the big five companies are having a bad day. 


Learn How to Do Technical Analysis At Weekly Zoom Meetings

Join us this week as we learn from community mentors on how to read charts and conduct technical analysis to get a better picture of where prices will go. We will be going over five technical indicators you can pick up and start using next week to get a temperature check of a stock or equity. While a single indicator may not guarantee the equity's price, it gives you some information on hwo it is doing from one perspective. knowing multiple indicators can get you a more complete picture; allowing you to make a well informed decision.

Stop trading blind and join us at our next few zoom sessions as we learn how to do Technical Analysis:

What Are Investment Influencers Doing?

Here's a summary of what some of our favorite influencers are worried about:
Alessio Rastani:
  • Wave 2 is likely coming - Expecting arrival as early as July but could be by September. Refer to 1918 wave two to see what we may be going up against. 
  • BTC and S&P has high correlation. May decouple eventually.
  • If we have another lockdown scenario, expect a U shape or L shaped recovery
  • Position: Took profits alread and sitting on cash right now
  • Vaccine may not be 100% effective, expect another 8-12 months
  • 50k new cases daily, way more than march
  • Houston hit 100% of ICU capacity
  • NASDAQ at all time high
  • 600/wk unemployment stimulus is expiring
  • Stocks are in bubble territory, everyone and their moms are on Robinhood
  • Economy is decoupled from stock market and expect a rebound soon
  • Position: Sold all of his stocks back in June. Recently bought gold
  • 11.1% unemployment rate doesn't cover everyone
  • If you include those not collecting unemployment, those given up and those underemployed, it's closer to 50%
  • Certain sectors are getting more jobs with reopening but still 40% down from last year
  • May take until 2028 before we get back to long term growth trend 
  • Jobs are cut and ripple effect will affect Main Street and economy
  • world trade is slowing down

Infographic for the Week

Headlines & News Worth Reading:

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Full disclaimer:  This newsletter is a summary of news articles, analysis and opinions of the editor team. We are not writing as investment advisors and what we present should not be taken as investment advice. The market is volatile and people can lose their life savings. Do your due diligence and consult your investment advisor for professional adice. 



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